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December 7, 2025How Bicentennial Coin Valuation Teaches Critical Lessons in M&A Tech Due Diligence
December 7, 2025As a CTO, I focus on aligning tech with our vision. Let’s explore how the Bicentennial Coin phenomenon sheds light on strategic technology decisions—especially for leadership teams.
When I came across conversations about the 1976 Bicentennial Coin Set, I couldn’t help but draw parallels to the tech investments we oversee. Something that seems valuable today might not hold up over time. Just as collectors weigh rarity and demand, CTOs need to assess which technologies truly serve our goals. Here’s how this numismatic example can guide smarter tech leadership.
The Valuation Paradox: When Looks Deceive
Looking Beyond the Price Tag
A coin’s initial cost doesn’t always predict future worth. The same goes for tech: that expensive software you bought last year? It might not age well if it doesn’t align with where the business is headed. Here’s how I size up new technology:
- Operational Impact: Will this improve how we work day to day?
- Strategic Alignment: Does it support our three-year plan?
- Total Cost of Ownership: Including upkeep and eventual replacement
“Tech bought for show, not function, just gathers digital dust.” — A saying among tech leaders
To Build or To Buy?
I noticed coin prices varied widely based on how they were sold. It reminded me of our build-versus-buy debates in tech.
// Simplified build vs. buy logic
function evaluateSolution(solution) {
const buildCost = estimateDevHours * hourlyRate;
const buyCost = licenseFees + implementationCost;
const strategicValue = calculateAlignmentScore(solution);
return (strategicValue > 0.8 && (buildCost < buyCost * 1.3)) ? 'Build' : 'Buy'; }
Budget Smart: Spend on Substance, Not Flash
What Really Drives Value?
Collectors look past shiny packaging to the silver inside. As leaders, we need to do the same. Here’s how I break down our tech budget:
- 70% Core Systems: Cloud, security, data infrastructure
- 20% Strategic Edge: AI, custom tools, competitive advantages
- 10% Experiments: Pilots in emerging tech like blockchain or AR
Don’t Forget the Hidden Costs
Like maintaining a coin collection, tech needs ongoing care. For every dollar spent on new software, plan to spend three more on:
- Security updates
- Compliance adjustments
- Integration upkeep
- Team training
Roadmapping: Stay Agile, Stay Ahead
Build Flexible Plans
Coin collectors watch market trends—we watch tech trends. Our roadmap stays relevant through:
- Quarterly tech radar reviews
- Regular architecture check-ins
- Tracking vendor roadmaps and risks
Knowing When to Let Go
Just as coins fall out of favor, some systems become legacy. Here’s how we decide what to retire:
LegacySystemEvaluation {
'MaintenanceCost': calculateAnnualCost(),
'BusinessCriticality': 1-10 scale,
'ReplacementFeasibility': {
'MigrationComplexity': 'High/Medium/Low',
'VendorOptions': availableAlternatives.length
}
}
Leadership: Nurturing Teams That Get It
Teach Engineers To See the Big Picture
The best engineers understand how tech decisions affect the business. We foster this with:
- Monthly tech demo sessions
- Clear records of architecture choices
- Rotations into product-focused roles
Hire for Strategic Thinking
We now include real-world scenarios in interviews, like:
"A vendor offers flashy AI tools at triple the usual cost. How would you weigh building in-house against buying, given our team size and current technical debt?"
Smart Buying: Lessons from the Coin Market
Negotiate Like a Pro
Coin auctions teach timing and tactics. We apply similar savvy to tech purchases:
- Time Purchases: Buy when vendors are eager to hit targets
- Bundle Deals: Combine needs across teams for better pricing
- Plan Exits: Always negotiate easy off-ramps
Build In-House Appraisal Skills
We’ve trained our architects to evaluate tech with a clear scoring system:
TechnologyValueScore =
(BusinessImpact * 0.4) +
(CostSavings * 0.3) +
(StrategicAlignment * 0.2) +
(InnovationPotential * 0.1)
Final Thoughts: Build Tech That Lasts
The Bicentennial Coin example reminds us that real value comes from strategic fit, not just surface appeal. As leaders, let’s focus on:
- Choosing tech that supports long-term goals
- Balancing new ideas with sustainable maintenance
- Building teams that grasp business impact
- Staying flexible as markets change
Just as experts separate rare metal from mere decoration, we must distinguish genuine tech advantage from hype. Stick to these principles, and your technology portfolio will keep delivering value—not just collecting dust.
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